Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,790,172$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(1.83 \times 10^{5} \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(24.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,776,398.2}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 49.2)}}\) (asimptote \(1,776,398.2\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $104,381$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(1.08 \times 10^{4} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{103,376.3}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 46.1)}}\) (asimptote \(103,376.3\))
Start date 2020-03-07 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,241,033$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $92,479$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(8.41 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{93,641.5}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 51.7)}}\) (asimptote \(93,641.5\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $7,374$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(514 \times 10^{0.016t}\) (doubling rate \(18.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,323.1}{1 + 10^{-0.044 (t - 48.2)}}\) (asimptote \(7,323.1\))
Start date 2020-03-06 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $35,892$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $13,463$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(1.12 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{13,660.2}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 53.0)}}\) (asimptote \(13,660.2\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $336$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(32 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(22.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{340.4}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 48.8)}}\) (asimptote \(340.4\))
Start date 2020-03-11 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,613$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $90,664$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(2 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.023t}\) (doubling rate \(13.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{157,257.4}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 70.2)}}\) (asimptote \(157,257.4\))
Start date 2020-03-28 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9,930$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(272 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,167.9}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 61.0)}}\) (asimptote \(17,167.9\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $16,962$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $17,285$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(1.17 \times 10^{3} \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(19.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{20,922.3}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 58.4)}}\) (asimptote \(20,922.3\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $502$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(82.2 \times 10^{0.012t}\) (doubling rate \(26.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{490.1}{1 + 10^{-0.038 (t - 35.7)}}\) (asimptote \(490.1\))
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,224$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,202$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(94 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{12,494.8}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 78.4)}}\) (asimptote \(12,494.8\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $212$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(17.1 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(17.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{292.2}{1 + 10^{-0.028 (t - 53.5)}}\) (asimptote \(292.2\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $4,453$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,045$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(415 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(28.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,962.2}{1 + 10^{-0.049 (t - 30.6)}}\) (asimptote \(1,962.2\))
Start date 2020-03-26 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $83$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(18.3 \times 10^{0.011t}\) (doubling rate \(26.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{82.7}{1 + 10^{-0.056 (t - 27.7)}}\) (asimptote \(82.7\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $153$ on 2020-05-31
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,517$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(58.2 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{4,008.7}{1 + 10^{-0.037 (t - 62.3)}}\) (asimptote \(4,008.7\))
Start date 2020-03-31 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $46$ on 2020-05-31
Best fit exponential: \(2.7 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{127.6}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 72.0)}}\) (asimptote \(127.6\))
Start date 2020-03-25 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,431$ on 2020-05-31
